Resources for pilot and feasibility studies
Pilot and feasibility studies differ from studies to evaluate the effectiveness or efficacy of an intervention in that they are concerned with addressing areas of uncertainty and assessing feasibility. This different focus affects objectives and means that their design, analysis, and reporting are different and need special consideration.
For example, a pilot trial assessing feasibility of conducting a future definitive trial might collect data on items such as recruitment and retention to assess feasibility, analysis is likely to be based on descriptive statistics since the study is not powered for formal hypothesis testing for effectiveness/efficacy, and reporting would need to include detail on items such as identification and consent of participants, criteria for deciding whether to progress to the main trial, unintended consequences during the trial, and implications for progression.
This page provides resources to help trialists and researchers to conduct a pilot or feasibility study.
See Introduction to pilot and feasibility studies for an overview of pilot and feasibility studies.
See also our mini webinar series highlighting key points to consider when conducting pilot and feasibility studies prior to a definitive randomised controlled trial.
Resources below are separated into sections on Design, Analysis and Reporting.
Design: Introduction
As is described in Introduction to pilot and feasibility studies, pilot and feasibility studies are conducted to inform a later definitive study. Their aim is to fill gaps in knowledge that need to be clarified before progressing to a full study. The intention is that by resolving points of uncertainty at an early stage the ultimate study is more likely to succeed.
The CONSORT extension for pilot trials can be used for designing and planning a pilot trial, not just reporting.
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2016;2(1):64.
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. BMJ. 2016;355.
Additional guidance has also been published for reporting of pilot trial protocols.
-
Thabane L, and Lancaster G. A guide to the reporting of protocols of pilot and feasibility trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2019; 5(1) p 1-3.
Design: Example objectives
The Introduction to pilot and feasibility studies web page gives an overview of why to do pilot and feasibility studies. The objectives for feasibility and pilot studies should focus on feasibility and areas of uncertainty about that feasibility in a putative trial of effectiveness or efficacy. Here we present some example objectives, though we stress that investigators should base their own objectives on the uncertainties about feasibility in their own studies:
- Confirming whether the proposed intervention is needed
- Confirming whether the proposed intervention is acceptable to all stakeholders
- Investigating whether the relevant population will agree to take part in a potential randomised study
- Checking participants can be recruited
- Checking participants can be retained
- Testing integrity of study protocol
- Testing randomisation procedure
- Testing data collection
- Obtaining estimates to help with sample size calculation
- Exploring potential outcome measures
Effect sizes
The objective of a pilot or feasibility study should not be to assess effectiveness or efficacy, because by definition the study has not been powered to assess this. Effectiveness would normally be the primary outcome of the ultimate definitive study. See Introduction to pilot and feasibility studies and Resourcess – analysis for more on this.
Authors sometimes use the effect size determined in a pilot study to power a main study assessing effectiveness or efficacy, but this can lead to a seriously underpowered main study. It is discouraged because pilot studies are not powered to estimate effect sizes:
-
Kraemer H, Mintz J, Noda A, Tinklenberg J, Yesavage JA. Caution regarding the use of pilot studies to guide power calculations for study proposals. Archives of General Psychiatry. 2006;63(5):484-9.
- Albers C, Lakens D. When power analyses based on pilot data are biased: Inaccurate effect size estimators and follow-up bias. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 2018;74:187-95.
Further reading
The following papers give further discussion about objectives in pilot and feasibility studies:
- Lancaster GA, Dodd S, Williamson PR. Design and analysis of pilot studies: recommendations for good practice. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice. 2004;10(2):307-12
- Eldridge SM, Lancaster GA, Campbell MJ, Thabane L, Hopewell S, Coleman CL, et al. Defining feasibility and pilot studies in preparation for randomised controlled trials: development of a conceptual framework. PLoS One. 2016;11(3):e0150205.
- Shanyinde M, Pickering RM, Weatherall M. Questions asked and answered in pilot and feasibility randomized controlled trials. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2011;11(1):117.
- Blatch-Jones A J, et al. Role of feasibility and pilot studies in randomised controlled trials: a cross-sectional study. BMJ Open. 2018;8(9).
- Westlund E, Stuart E A. The Nonuse, Misuse, and Proper Use of Pilot Studies in Experimental Evaluation Research. American Journal of Evaluation. 2017;38(2):246–261.
- Kho M E, Thabane L. Pilot and Feasibility Studies in Rehabilitation: Moving into the Next Decade. Physiotherapy Canada. 2020;72(3):225–227.
- Campbell M J, Mansournia M A, Lancaster G. Methods matter: Pilot and feasibility studies in sports medicine. British Journal of Sports Medicine. 2020;54:1309–1310.
- Pearson N, et al. Guidance for conducting feasibility and pilot studies for implementation trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2020;6:167
- O’Cathain A, et al. Maximising the impact of qualitative research in feasibility studies for randomised controlled trials: Guidance for researchers. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2015;1:32.
Design: Choosing the design
The design and data collection for a pilot or feasibility study should be appropriate to answer the pre-specified objectives. It should be stated explicitly which objectives will be answered using quantitative methods and which using qualitative methods, and it might be beneficial to separate the objectives into primary objectives (often those on which decisions about progressing to a future definitive randomised controlled trial (RCT) may be made) and secondary objectives.
For the example, some objectives might be better answered by a qualitative approach using interviews or focus groups (is the proposed intervention acceptable?), some by a non-randomised intervention study (can the necessary data be collected, can participants be retained?), and others by a pilot trial (can participants be recruited and randomised?).
The following examples use varying designs to answer their objectives:
Mixed methods study
Objective: To assess the feasibility of establishing a comprehensive primary angioplasty service. We aimed to compare satisfaction at intervention hospitals offering angioplasty-based care and control hospitals offering thrombolysis-based care.
Outcomes: Postal survey of patients and their carers, supported by semi-structured interviews
-
Sampson FC, O’Cathain A, Goodacre S. Is primary angioplasty an acceptable alternative to thrombolysis? Quantitative and qualitative study of patient and carer satisfaction. Health Expect. 2010;13(4):350-8.
Survey
Objective: To determine feasibility of RCT comparing operative with non-operative treatment for femoroacetabular impingement surgery
Outcomes: Surgeon and patient opinion via a questionnaire
-
Palmer AJ, Thomas GE, Pollard TC, Rombach I, Taylor A, Arden N, et al. The feasibility of performing a randomised controlled trial for femoroacetabular impingement surgery. Bone Joint Res. 2013;2(2):33-40.
Single arm trial
(intervention without a control group)
Objective: To pilot an intervention to avoid the use of syringes and contamination of materials amongst injecting drug users
Outcomes: Adoption of each of four components; whether pre-post changes in blood residues indicated that intervention merited further testing
-
Colon HM, Finlinson HA, Negron J, Sosa I, Rios-Olivares E, Robles RR. Pilot trial of an intervention aimed at modifying drug preparation practices among injection drug users in Puerto Rico. AIDS Behav. 2009;13(3):523-31.
Randomised controlled trial
Objective: To assess feasibility of randomised controlled trial (RCT) management of reduced fetal movement
Outcomes: Recruitment, retention, acceptability, adherence to protocol, prevalence of poor perinatal outcomes
-
Heazell AE, Bernatavicius G, Roberts SA, Garrod A, Whitworth MK, Johnstone ED, et al. A randomised controlled trial comparing standard or intensive management of reduced fetal movements after 36 weeks gestation–a feasibility study. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2013;13:95.
Design: Sample size
Justification should be given for the numbers included in the pilot or feasibility study. The sample size rationale should be based on the primary objective of the pilot or feasibility study.
For example, if the primary objective of the pilot or feasibility study is to estimate some quantitative measure (e.g. variance of an effect size to inform sample size calculation for future definitive trial, or rates of acceptance, recruitment, retention), then the sample size should be set to ensure a desired degree of precision around the estimate (although this may give too large a number and need to be balanced with logistics). Most of the literature on sample size for a pilot trial assumes the objective is to estimate parameters for the sample size calculation for the future effectiveness or efficacy trial. In this case, one may decide the sample size for the pilot trial in relation to the sample size required in the future definitive trial.
- Julious SA. Sample size of 12 per group rule of thumb for a pilot study. Pharmaceutical Statistics. 2005;4(4):287-91.
- Teare MD, Dimairo M, Shephard N, Hayman A, Whitehead A, Walters SJ. Sample size requirements to estimate key design parameters from external pilot randomised controlled trials: a simulation study. Trials. 2014;15(1):264.
- Browne RH. On the use of a pilot sample for sample size determination. Statistics in Medicine. 1995;14(17):1933-40.
- Hertzog MA. Considerations in determining sample size for pilot studies. Research in Nursing & Health. 2008;31(2):180-91.
- Sim J, Lewis M. The size of a pilot study for a clinical trial should be calculated in relation to considerations of precision and efficiency. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2012;65(3):301-8.
- Stallard N. Optimal sample sizes for phase II clinical trials and pilot studies. Statistics in Medicine. 2012;31(11-12):1031-42.
- Whitehead AL, Julious SA, Cooper CL, Campbell MJ. Estimating the sample size for a pilot randomised trial to minimise the overall trial sample size for the external pilot and main trial for a continuous outcome variable. Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 2016;25(3):1057-73.
- Cocks K, Torgerson DJ. Sample size calculations for pilot randomized trials: a confidence interval approach. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2013;66(2):197-201.
- Bell ML, Whitehead AL, Julious SA. Guidance for using pilot studies to inform the design of intervention trials with continuous outcomes. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2018:10 153–157.
- Cooper CL, Whitehead AL, Pottrill E, Julious SA, Walters SJ. Are pilot trials useful for predicting randomisation and attrition rates in definitive studies: A review of publicly funded trials. Clinical Trials. 2018;15(2):189-196.
However, the primary objective for most pilot and feasibility studies is related to assessing the feasibility of trial processes and intervention implementation. The sample size rationale can be qualitative or quantitative, so in this scenario may be based on logistics, resources, and time.
Design: Informed consent
Khan et al. assessed the transparency of informed consent in pilot and feasibility studies and found that transparency of informed consent is often inadequate
-
Khan MI, Mbuagbaw L, Holek M, et al. Transparency of informed consent in pilot and feasibility studies is inadequate: a single-center quality assurance study. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2021;7(96).
-
Khan MI, Holek M, Bdair F, Mbuagbaw L, Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Lancaster GA, Thabane L. Assessing the transparency of informed consent in feasibility and pilot studies – a single centre quality assurance study protocol. BMJ Open. 2020; 10:e036226.
Design: Progression criteria
Progression criteria are pre-specified criteria on which to base the decision about whether or not to proceed to the next stage in the research process.
Avery et al. propose a traffic light system for specifying progression criteria, where green (or go) indicates that the criteria have been met and the trial should proceed, amber (or amend) indicates that some changes should be made to the larger trial, and red (or stop) indicates that the investigators should not move forward with the larger trial.
-
Avery KNL, Williamson PR, Gamble C, Connell Francischetto E, Metcalfe C, Davidson P, Williams H, Blazeby JM. Informing efficient randomised controlled trials: exploration of challenges in developing progression criteria for internal pilot studies. BMJ Open. 2017;7(2)
A recent review of progression criteria indicates that reporting is inadequate.
-
Mellor K., Eddy S., Peckham N., Bond C.M., Campbell M.J., Lancaster G.A., Thabane L., Eldridge S.M., Dutton S.J., Hopewell S. Progression from external pilot to definitive randomised controlled trial are not adequately reported: a methodological review of progression criteria reporting. BMJ Open. 2021; 11(6)
The following paper looks at determining sample size for progression criteria.
-
Lewis M., Bromley K., Sutton C.J., McCray G., Myers H.L., Lancaster G.A. Determining sample size for progression criteria for pragmatic pilot RCTs: the hypothesis test strikes back! Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2021; 7(40).
Design: Pragmatic trials
There are unique considerations and areas of uncertainty that should be taken into account in pilot studies for pragmatic trials. The following paper looks at the elements of pragmatic trials that might need to be examined as part of a pilot study, and how we might design a pilot or feasibility study to address these areas of uncertainty.
-
Chan C, Taljaard M, Lancaster GA, Brehaut J, Eldridge SE. Pilot and feasibility studies for pragmatic trials have unique considerations and areas of uncertainty. 2021; 138. p 102-114
Reporting: Introduction
Good reporting of pilot and feasibility studies is needed to inform other researchers who might want to use the results when preparing for similar future definitive trials, and to show how the pilot or feasibility study could inform the future definitive trial. This page provides resources to help with the reporting of pilot and feasibility studies.
Reporting: Current reporting quality
Current reporting of pilot and feasibility studies needs improving, as shown by the following reviews of these studies:
- Chan CL, Leyrat C, Eldridge SM. Quality of reporting of pilot and feasibility cluster randomised trials: a systematic review. BMJ Open. 2017;7(11).
- Kannan S, Gowri S. Pilot studies: Are they appropriately reported? Perspectives in Clinical Research. 2015;6(4):207-10.
- Lancaster GA, Dodd S, Williamson PR. Design and analysis of pilot studies: recommendations for good practice. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice. 2004;10(2):307-12
- Thabane L, Ma J, Chu R, Cheng J, Ismaila A, Rios LP, et al. A tutorial on pilot studies: the what, why and how. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2010;10(1).
- Arain M, Campbell MJ, Cooper CL, Lancaster GA. What is a pilot or feasibility study? A review of current practice and editorial policy. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2010;10(1):67.
- Shanthanna H, et al. A cross-sectional study of the reporting quality of pilot or feasibility trials in high-impact anesthesia journals. Canadian Journal of Anesthesia. 2018;65(11):1180–1195.
- Charlesworth M, Klein A A, White S M. A bibliometric analysis of the conversion and reporting of pilot studies published in six anaesthesia journals. Anaesthesia, 2019;75:152-4.
- Horne E, et al. Pilot trials in physical activity journals: a review of reporting and editorial policy. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2018;4:125.
Friedman argues why we should report results from pilot studies in the following paper:
- Friedman L. Commentary: Why we should report results from clinical trial pilot studies. Trials. 2013;14(1):14.
Reporting: Guidelines for reporting
CONSORT stands for Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials and encompasses various initiatives developed by the CONSORT Group to alleviate the problems arising from inadequate reporting of randomised controlled trials. The main product of CONSORT is the CONSORT Statement, which is an evidence-based, minimum set of recommendations for reporting randomised trials. It offers a standard way for authors to prepare reports of trial findings, facilitating their complete and transparent reporting, and aiding their critical appraisal and interpretation.
Initially developed for individually randomised trials, an extension for randomised pilot and feasibility trials is now available. The CONSORT extension for randomised pilot and feasibility trials aims to provide reporting guidance for any randomised study in which a future definitive randomised trial, or part of it, is conducted on a smaller scale, regardless of its design (e.g., cluster, factorial, crossover) or the terms used by authors to describe the study (e.g., pilot, feasibility, trial, study). This extension does not directly apply to internal pilot studies built into the design of a main trial, non-randomised pilot and feasibility studies, or phase II studies, but these studies all have some similarities to randomised pilot and feasibility studies and so many of the principles might also apply.
There are some key differences in pilot and feasibility trials from randomised trials designed to evaluate effectiveness or efficacy, particularly in the type of information that needs to be reported and in the interpretation of standard CONSORT reporting items. Some of the original CONSORT Statement items are retained, but most have been adapted, some removed, and new items added.
The CONSORT extension for reporting of randomised pilot and feasibility trials comprises a 26-item checklist and a flow diagram. The checklist items focus on reporting how the trial was designed, analysed, and interpreted; the flow diagram displays the progress of all participants through the trial (see Available downloads below). The CONSORT extension document explains and illustrates the principles underlying the CONSORT extension for randomised pilot and feasibility trials:
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2016;2(1):64.
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. BMJ. 2016;355.
The following paper outlines the methods and processes used to develop the CONSORT extension:
-
Thabane L, Hopewell S, Lancaster GA, Bond CM, Coleman CL, Campbell MJ, et al. Methods and processes for development of a CONSORT extension for reporting pilot randomized controlled trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2016;2(1):25.
The following editorials have been published to introduce the CONSORT extension for pilot trials:
-
Abbade LPF, Abbade JF, Thabane L. Introducing the CONSORT extension to pilot trials: enhancing the design, conduct and reporting of pilot or feasibility trials. Journal of Venomous Animals and Toxins including Tropical Diseases. 2018;24(1):4.
-
Craig P. A new CONSORT extension should improve the reporting of randomized pilot and feasibility trials. Journal of clinical epidemiology. 2017;84:30-2.
-
Bond C. When is a pilot not a pilot? International Journal of Pharmacy Practice. 2017;25(2):105-6.
-
McHugh J. CONSORT statement extended for pilot trials. Nature Reviews Rheumatology. 2016;12:692.
Reporting: Available downloads
-
Consort extension checklist (Microsoft Word)
-
Consort extension abstract checklist (Microsoft Word)
-
Consort extension flow diagram (Microsoft Word)
Reporting: Pilot and feasibility studies journal
In 2015, the journal Pilot and Feasibility Studies was launched for papers about pilot and feasibility studies (for example, protocols, manuscripts about design and analysis, and discussion and review articles):
-
Lancaster GA. Pilot and feasibility studies come of age! Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2015;1(1):1.
The following editorials relevant to reporting have been published in this journal or elsewhere:
-
Campbell M.J., Mansournia M.A., Lancaster G.A. Methods matter: pilot and feasibility studies in sports medicine. British Journal of Sports Medicine. 2020. 54(22)
-
Chan, C.L. A website for pilot and feasibility studies: giving your research the best chance of success. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2019;5(122): doi: 10.1186/s40814-019-0522-6
-
Lancaster G, Thabane L. Guidelines for reporting non-randomised pilot and feasibility studies. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2019;5(114): doi:10.1186/s40814-019-0499-1
-
Thabane L, Lancaster G. A guide to the reporting of protocols of pilot and feasibility trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2019;5(37): doi:10.1186/s40814-019-0423-8
-
Thabane L, Lancaster G. Improving the efficiency of trials using innovative pilot designs: the next phase in the conduct and reporting of pilot and feasibility studies. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2017;4(1):14.
-
Hoddinott P. A new era for intervention development studies. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2015;1(1):36.
Analysis: Introduction
Lancaster et al. and Grimes and Schultz suggest that analysis of pilot studies should mainly be descriptive, as hypothesis testing requires a powered sample size which is usually not available in pilot studies:
-
Lancaster GA, Dodd S, Williamson PR. Design and analysis of pilot studies: recommendations for good practice. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice. 2004;10(2):307-12.
-
Grimes DA, Schulz KF. Descriptive studies: what they can and cannot do. The Lancet. 2002;359(9301):145-9.
Thabane et al. and Arain et al. state that any testing of an intervention needs to be reported cautiously:
-
Thabane L, Ma J, Chu R, Cheng J, Ismaila A, Rios LP, et al. A tutorial on pilot studies: the what, why and how. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2010;10(1).
-
Arain M, Campbell MJ, Cooper CL, Lancaster GA. What is a pilot or feasibility study? A review of current practice and editorial policy. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2010;10(1):67.
Remember that some trials with small sample sizes may be incorrectly labelled as a ‘pilot’. If a trial is assessing effectiveness as a primary outcome the original CONSORT statement for RCTs should be applied.
Analysis: Value of information approach
One analysis of a pilot that could be undertaken is to decide the sample size for a subsequent trial using the value of information (VOI) approach:
-
Tuffaha HW, Reynolds H, Gordon LG, Rickard CM, Scuffham PA. Value of information analysis optimizing future trial design from a pilot study on catheter securement devices. Clinical Trials. 2014;11(6):648-56.
The idea is that errors are costly and information is valuable since it reduces the risk of making wrong judgments. VOI analysis quantifies the uncertainty surrounding trial results, estimates the expected benefits of reducing this uncertainty with additional research such as a trial, and subsequently informs optimal future trial design. Based on this approach, if the expected benefit of an intended clinical trial outweighs its expected cost, then the study is potentially worthwhile. VOI analysis can also optimize additional aspects of research design such as possible comparator arms and alternative follow-up periods, by considering trial designs that optimize the expected benefits of research.
Analysis: Items from the CONSORT extension for pilot trials
The recently published CONSORT extension for pilot trials states that the objective of a pilot trial should determine what is reported. Methods should be specified for how each of the pilot or feasibility study objectives will be addressed, and this can be qualitative or quantitative.
The CONSORT extension for pilot trials has three items related to the analysis of pilot trials. Although the CONSORT extension is for reporting, it is also useful for suggesting appropriate analysis.The examples and text that follows are quotes from this paper:
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. Pilot and Feasibility Studies. 2016;2(1):64.
-
Eldridge SM, Chan CL, Campbell MJ, Bond CM, Hopewell S, Thabane L, et al. CONSORT 2010 statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. BMJ. 2016;355.
Item 17a
For each objective, results including expressions of uncertainty (such as 95% confidence interval) for any estimates. If relevant, these results should be by randomised group.
Example 1 given in CONSORT statement (feasibility outcome):
“The ABSORB [A bioabsorbable everolimus-eluting coronary stent system for patients with single de-novo coronary artery lesions] study aimed to assess the feasibility and safety of the BVS [bioasorbable everolimus- eluting stent] stent in patients with single de-novo coronary artery lesions. …Procedural success was 100% (30/30 patients), and device success 94% (29/31 attempts at implantation of the stent).”
-
Ormiston JA, Serruys PW, Regar E, Dudek D, Thuesen L, Webster MWI, et al. A bioabsorbable everolimus-eluting coronary stent system for patients with single de-novo coronary artery lesions (ABSORB): a prospective open-label trial. The Lancet. 2008;371(9616):899-907.
“It is important that the reported results of a pilot trial reflect the objectives. Results might include, for example, recruitment, retention or response rates, or other sorts of rates, as in example 1. Because the sample size in a pilot trial is likely to be small, estimates of these rates will be imprecise and this imprecision should be recognised, for example, by calculating a confidence interval around the estimate. Commonly, authors do not give such a confidence interval, but if the numerator and denominator are given the confidence interval can be calculated. In example 1 the Wilson 95% confidence interval for 100% (30/30) is 88.65% to 100% and for 94% (29/31) is 79.78% to 98.21%.”
See this practical resource for calculating a confidence interval.
“If authors do report differences between trial arms (and this is not necessary if it is not consistent with the objectives of the trial) then confidence intervals again provide readers with an assessment of precision (example 2), which usually indicates considerable uncertainty.”
Example 2 given in CONSORT statement (proposed outcome in future definitive trial):
“Rates of initiation of lifestyle change also favoured the individualized assessment arm but less clearly. At 3 months, 75% of the individualized assessment arm and 68% of the usual assessment arm had initiated changes in their lifestyle (unadjusted odds ratio, 1.38 [95%CI, 0.55 to 3.52]). At 6 months, the percentages were 85% and 75%, suggesting increased initiation of change over time in both arms, with the gap widening slightly (unadjusted odds ratio, 1.86 [95% CI, 0.64 to 5.77]) . Wide CIs again point to the degree of uncertainty around this conclusion”
-
Hill K, Walwyn R, Camidge D, Murray J, Meads D, Reynolds G, et al. A Randomized Feasibility Trial of a New Lifestyle Referral Assessment Versus Usual Assessment in an Acute Cardiology Setting. Journal of Cardiovascular Nursing. 2016;31(6):507-16.
“If samples in the pilot trial and future definitive RCT are drawn from slightly different populations, confidence intervals calculated from the pilot will not directly indicate the likely upper and lower bounds of the relevant measure in the future definitive RCT, but can nevertheless highlight the lack of precision effectively.”
Item 17b
In the original CONSORT statement states that one should give both the relative risk and absolute difference if the outcome is a proportion: However, in pilot trials this is not applicable.
“Because of the imprecision of estimates from these trials and the fact that samples in these trials can be unrepresentative (see item 17a), we caution against any reliance on estimates of effect size from pilot trials for clinical implications. Information from outcome data, however, can be legitimately used for other purposes, such as estimating inputs for sample size for the future definitive RCT. Thus item 17b, which is underpinned by rationale around clinical implications, is not applicable.”
Item 18
Results of any other analyses performed that could be used to inform the future definitive trial.
Example given in CONSORT statement “Sensitivity analysis. At both six and 12 weeks, findings were insensitive to the exclusion of those catheterised throughout their hospital stay (and also to the exclusion of those who were never incontinent following the removal of a catheter). However, at both time points, odds ratios reduced when those with pre-stroke incontinence were excluded.”
-
Thomas LH, Watkins CL, Sutton CJ, Forshaw D, Leathley MJ, French B, et al. Identifying continence options after stroke (ICONS): a cluster randomised controlled feasibility trial. Trials. 2014;15(1):509.
“It is possible that the results of analyses that were not initially planned might have important implications for the future definitive RCT. Such findings should be reported and discussed in relation to how they might inform the future definitive RCT. In the example, although numbers were small, the authors inferred from the unplanned sensitivity analyses that those with pre-stroke incontinence were at least as likely, or more likely, to benefit from the intervention than those continent pre-stroke, and concluded that this group of patients should be included in the full trial.”
Analysis: Missing data
Dealing with missing data is less important in pilot and feasibility studies; what is more important is to investigate missing data and understand why they are missing and what can be done to prevent missing data in the future definitive study. Simple descriptive statistics can identify the extent of missing data for various questions/questionnaires in the dataset, and models can be fitted to see whether the probability of missingness is associated with baseline characteristics such as age, gender, ethnicity etc. Furthermore, qualitative work can be performed to discover the burden of data completion to patients and why some particular items may be incomplete.
Analysis: Deciding whether to proceed with a future trial
Since pilot trials aim to assess the feasibility of a definitive trial, the analysis should indicate whether researchers intend to proceed with the intended future trial. Researchers should also consider how the pilot trial findings have informed the future definitive trial design, for example if changes to the proposed design have been made based on their pilot trial findings. If applicable, this should also be based on any progression criteria that was pre-specified to inform this decision.
The following paper also provides an example of how this decision can be made by considering problems faced during the pilot trial and potential solutions to those problems:
-
Bugge C, Williams B, Hagen S, Logan J, Glazener C, Pringle S, et al. A process for Decision-making after Pilot and feasibility Trials (ADePT): development following a feasibility study of a complex intervention for pelvic organ prolapse. Trials. 2013;14(1):353.